Every permit
Every pending mineral-exploration file in Ontario, in one table:
How to read the table. Applied is the date the application reached the Environmental Registry. Waiting is how long the file has sat in its current state as of ; it is a fact, not a forecast. Chance issued is the chance the permit is issued with terms within the period the forecast covers. Decision likely between is an 80% credible interval on the decision date; files whose public comment period is still open carry provisional forecasts until it closes. Files paused for consultation are waiting while the Ministry consults affected Indigenous communities; their range covers when the file is likely to move again and reach a decision, and says nothing about the consultation itself. Stalled files get no date anywhere in this issue; a date on a file that has not moved in years would be false precision. In the proponent view, highest pause chance is the largest chance, among a proponent's clock-running files, of being pulled into a consultation pause. How often these intervals have contained the actual decision date: track record.