Kestrel Economics · Bulletin 2026 no.1 · Decision calendar

Decision calendar

Most of the queue should resolve within a year: of the working files have their most likely decision date inside twelve months of . Here is the month-by-month shape of what is coming, and which files sit in each month.

The months ahead

A most likely month is not a promise. Each file's own range is wider than a month; the lists below carry every file's 80% credible interval, dated. The last bar collects the files whose most likely date falls after .

Month by month

Each row carries the file's 80% credible interval for the decision date; the month heading only says where the single most likely date falls. Files marked provisional still have their public comment period open, and their ranges firm up when it closes. Files paused while the Ministry consults affected Indigenous communities carry a range for when the file moves again and reaches a decision; it says nothing about the consultation itself.

The files in no month

of the pending files appear in no month above. They are stalled: nothing on the registry has moved for a long time, and no honest decision date exists for them, so none is given. What can be said about each one is in the table.

How often ranges like the ones above have contained the actual decision date is tracked on the track record page. Which files might miss their window entirely is on the risk board.